Estimate Your Monthly Retirement Income
Where will your money come from when you retire? The primary sources of income for most retirees include:
Pension
If you are a beneficiary of this valuable benefit, you will get a guaranteed amount based on your salary history and years of service, either in a lump sum or with monthly payments for the rest of your life, provided you are vested. During retirement planning, talk to your HR representative — for your current and any previous employers — about pension benefits for which you will be eligible and their amounts.
With all the news about failing and underfunded pensions in recent years, you may wonder if yours is secure. While not the guarantee they once were, pensions are protected by contracts, laws, and regulations. Private pensions also may be insured by the federal Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC), which will pay benefits
up to a certain limit should a business fail.
Social Security
If you have paid Social Security taxes during your working life, you may qualify for Social Security benefits when you retire. The Social Security Administration provides a variety of
online calculators that can help you plan for retirement and estimate your future benefits based on different retirement ages. You also can create a personal “
my Social Security account” to review your expected benefits based on your actual work history to date. (If you have a public pension and also qualify for Social Security, be sure to use the
WEP calculator as your Social Security benefits may be reduced.)
Other Income Sources
These may include, for example, annuity payments you may receive, real estate you plan to sell to help finance your retirement or rental properties.
Estimate Your Retirement Expenses
For a rough estimate of your future expenses in retirement, a general rule of thumb is to multiply your current income by 70–90%, or, depending on your individual circumstances and the lifestyle you hope to enjoy. You’ll want to create a more detailed budget as you get closer to retirement, but this is a good ballpark formula to use in these early retirement planning stages.
Inventory Your Assets: Add up Your Retirement Savings
Add up the retirement savings you expect to have by the time you reach retirement (such as 401(k)s, IRAs, and personal savings and investments) and divide the total by the number of years you expect to live in retirement (this
longevity calculator can help) to determine the savings you will have to draw upon each year. Note that if you’ve been saving for retirement with before-tax dollars, you’ll need to pay taxes on both your contributions and earnings, which could mean less money available in retirement than you expected.
- Put It All Together: Now crunch the numbers: Add together your annual income and the retirement savings you’ll withdraw each year and compare that to your annual expenses. Better yet, plug your numbers into a retirement calculator, such as this one from AARP, for a more complete calculation that factors in inflation, income taxes, raises, and rates of savings return. You also can use a calculator to experiment with what-if outcomes under different savings and spending scenarios.
- Make Sure You Are on Track: If your calculations show you’re on track, you can breathe a sigh of relief and stay the course with your current retirement savings plan. Otherwise, you have some adjustments to make, whether that is to reduce your expenses in retirement, save more over the next five years, plan to work part-time in retirement or push out your retirement date.
- Talk to a Financial Advisor: A financial advisor who specializes in retirement planning can help you sort through your options — and review your portfolio’s allocation among stocks, bonds, and cash. The closer you get to retirement, the less time your portfolio must recover from market tumbles, which is why a more conservative investing approach is generally recommended as people age. This may be the time to begin moving your investments around, depending on your unique circumstances and tolerance for risk.
- Build a Cash Reserve: In retirement, a one- to two-year cash reserve is recommended, to cover short-term and emergency expenses. Otherwise, you could be forced to tap your investments in a down market and risk spending down your portfolio too quickly. Begin building a reserve now, so that it’s well established by the time you retire.
This is the quintessential question for most pre-retirees. If you followed the steps recommended above, you have estimated the retirement savings you’ll need using the 70–90% (give or take) guideline. But what you’ll need is a moving target, given rising healthcare costs, inflation, taxes, your life expectancy, and other unknowns. It also depends on your spending habits, which is one of the few things you do have control over, both now and in your retirement years.
With three years to go, take the following steps to evaluate your current spending in greater detail, update your financial projections, make sure you don’t have retirement concerns and that you’re ready for retirement in other important ways.
Create a Retirement Budget
Creating a detailed budget well in advance of retirement will give you a realistic picture of your future expenses — and help you alleviate retirement concerns and approach this new chapter of your life with greater confidence and less stress.
- Start by gathering your bank account and credit card statements for the past six months to a year. If you manage your finances with a personal accounting program such as Quicken, this can be as simple as generating a monthly spending report.
- Identify your essential and discretionary expenditures, their current costs, and if you expect them to increase, decrease, or go away altogether when you retire. For example, commuting costs and retirement savings may no longer apply and your mortgage may be paid off, but other expenses may increase, such as those for travel and hobbies.
- Consider healthcare. Healthcare may be your single largest expense in retirement. With healthcare costs on the rise, this is a budget line item that will probably cost you significantly more in retirement than it does now.
- Now that you have a handle on your expenses, where can you cut back on spending? Which debts can you eliminate before you retire? Start acting now to help your retirement cause.
Recheck Your Pension and Social Security Benefit Amounts
The future income you calculated at year five may change during your working years in accordance with pay raises you receive, adjustments for inflation, and any changes you make to your retirement date. To keep tabs, get an update on your pension and from Social Security on an annual basis. You may be pleasantly surprised to learn that your retirement income has grown since the last time you checked.
Reevaluate Your Financial Projections for Retirement Income
Reevaluate your future expenses considering your projected retirement income and savings. Are you still on track? Are adjustments needed?
Get Essential Information in Order
In case of an emergency, you can help your family attend to your affairs by gathering essential documents and putting this important information down in writing:
- Account numbers for your financial assets and where they’re held
- Mortgage and loan information
- Property deeds and vehicle titles
- Insurance policies
- Important contact information, such as for your attorney, insurance broker, financial advisor, doctor, veterinarian, and anyone else who will be essential in taking care of your affairs
- List of passwords for all your online accounts